Red List

MSTRStrategy Inc

Technology · Software - Application · large-cap ($44.1B)
-66.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $457.22 set 2025-07-16 · 316d ago
Current
$151.64
Decline depth
-66.8%
Decline σ
6.7σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$MSTR has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 69.9% from its 52-week high then — now down -66.8%.

That's 12.1 percentage points deeper than the day it joined.

Decline from the 52-week high as it stood on 2026-03-02 (fixed anchor) → today. Split-adjusted, Alpaca. Observed history, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

MSTR qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-66.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $457.22, 316d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
6.7σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (3.99% per day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about MSTR.

MSTR qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -66.8% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.7σ over 20 bars.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2U (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-02-05. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $104.17 13.4% of range 52W high $457.22

Sector context · Technology

179 other Technology tickers are on Broken Stocks.

113 Red List
45 Amber
21 Watch
-42.1% Median decline

Worst in sector: DUOL (-79.9%). Least-bad: SONO (-20.0%). See all Technology listings →

Questions about MSTR

What people ask.

Why is MSTR on Broken Stocks?

MSTR qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -66.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $457.22, set on 2025-07-16 — 316d ago.

Is MSTR a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. MSTR is down -66.8% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 316d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. MSTR is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is MSTR a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is MSTR trading inside its 52-week range?

At $151.64, MSTR sits 13.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($104.17) to its 52-week high ($457.22). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has MSTR been declining?

The current 66.8% decline accrued over 316d, which annualizes to roughly -77.2% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does MSTR compare to its sector?

There are 179 other Technology tickers on Broken Stocks: 113 Red, 45 Amber, 21 Watch, with 115 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -42.1% — MSTR's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does MSTR's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-02-05) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.