Amber ListRecovering

NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cott

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · small-cap ($736M)
-30.4%
from rolling 252-day high of $40.26 set 2025-10-01 · 344d ago
Current
$28.01
Decline depth
-30.4%
Decline σ
3.6σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Since tracking began

$NGVC has been tracked since 2026-03-01. It was down 56.2% from its 52-week high then — now down -30.4%.

It has clawed back 2.0 percentage points off that level. It bottomed 59.9% below that high along the way.

From the 52-week high as of 2026-03-02 to today. Split-adjusted. Observed, not a forecast.

Structural break signals

NGVC qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-30.4%
From rolling 252-day high of $40.26, 344d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar on five time frames, daily to yearly. Bearish = 2-Down or red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
3.6σ
Drop over the last 20 bars in units of daily volatility (1.54%/day).

The structural read

What price action says about NGVC.

NGVC qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -30.4% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

A confirmed bullish signal on one or more time frames earned the Recovering badge. The tier says how deep the damage is; Recovering says momentum may be turning. Not a buy signal.

Whether NGVC's turn is investable is ConvictionEdge's question, not ours.

Upstream TFC read: strong alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 3 (green), monthly 1 (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-08-06. Earnings dates don't affect tiering.

Questions about NGVC

What people ask.

Why is NGVC on Broken Stocks?

NGVC qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -30.4% from its rolling 252-day high of $40.26, set on 2025-10-01 — 344d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for NGVC?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — NGVC is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is NGVC a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. NGVC is down -30.4% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 344d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. NGVC is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is NGVC a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is NGVC trading inside its 52-week range?

At $28.01, NGVC sits 20.2% of the way from its 52-week low ($23.47) to its 52-week high ($45.98). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has NGVC been declining?

The current 30.4% decline accrued over 344d, which annualizes to roughly -32.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does NGVC compare to its sector?

There are 85 other Consumer Defensive tickers on Broken Stocks: 41 Red, 29 Amber, 15 Watch, with 6 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -34.6% — NGVC's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does NGVC's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-08-06) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.